| 我国区域经济增长收敛的短期性和长期性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 尹伟华 张焕明. 我国区域经济增长收敛的短期性和长期性分析[J]. 技术经济, 2007, 26(11): 5-11 |
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| 作者姓名： | 尹伟华 张焕明 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽财经大学,统计与应用数学学院,安徽,蚌埠,233041 |
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| 基金项目： | 中华全国供销合作总社科研基金（GXZSKY06038）;安徽省教育厅青年社科基金（2005jqw045） |
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| 摘 要： | 从一个新的视角来解释经济增长收敛,对区域经济增长收敛从短期性和长期性两个方面来进行研究,认为区域经济增长的差异呈先扩大后减小的过程即倒U形。对改革开放以来我国区域经济增长过程进行实证分析,结果表明:在短期内我国区域经济增长趋于发散,但只要采取合适的政策措施,在长期内我国区域经济增长将趋于收敛;并给出了我国区域经济增长收敛曲线的模型形式及预测结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 区域经济 经济收敛 倒U形假说 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-980X（2007）11-0005-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-06-26 |
The Analysis on the Short-term and Long-term Regional Economic Growth Convergence of China |
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| YIN Wei-Hu,ZHANG Huan-ming. The Analysis on the Short-term and Long-term Regional Economic Growth Convergence of China[J]. Technology Economics, 2007, 26(11): 5-11 |
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| Authors: | YIN Wei-Hu ZHANG Huan-ming |
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| Affiliation: | Collage of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233041 ,China |
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| Abstract: | This paper explains regional economic growth convergence based on the Short term and Long term from the new angle of view, and thinks that the divergence of regional economic growth takes on an inverted-U process. The analysis on regional economic growth of China after opening-up shows that regional economic growth of China is divergence in short term, and goes convergence in long run as long as taking effective measures. At last, this paper gives a model of regional economic growth convergence of China and makes a prediction. |
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| Keywords: | regional economy economic convergence inverted-U hypothesis |
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