Scaling risk and the square-root-of-time rule in the emerging markets: Evidence from the Chinese stock market |
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作者单位: | School of Finance, Shanghai University of Finance & Economics, Shanghai 200083, China |
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摘 要: | This paper examines the square-root-of-time rule that frequently used in volatility estimation to the Chinese stock market that comprises Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market. The Jarque-Bera test conclusively rejects normal distribution of both stock market returns, while the Hurst analysis indicates both stock market returns does not follow a random walk. Furthermore, the tests for volatility scaling indicate volatility of both stock market returns do not scale according to the square-root-of-time rule and lead to bias in risk estimation. Henceforth, the study urges more alternative methods in risk management that suitable for the emerging Chinese stock market.
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关 键 词: | 中国 股票市场 市场分析 金融系统 发展战略 |
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