| 甘肃省二氧化碳排放影响因素的灰色关联分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 岳立,陈瑶.甘肃省二氧化碳排放影响因素的灰色关联分析[J].贵州商业高等专科学校学报,2012,25(3):39-43. |
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| 作者姓名： | 岳立 陈瑶 |
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| 作者单位： | 兰州大学经济学院,甘肃兰州,730000 |
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| 基金项目： | “中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助”(Supposed by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities)重大项目“提升区域发展能力:继续推进西部大开发战略的路径选择的对策研究”，2011年甘肃省社科规划项目“甘肃省区域和行业碳减排问题研究” |
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| 摘 要： | 二氧化碳排放造成的气候变化问题越来越受到全世界的关注,影响二氧化碳排放的因素很多,本文运用灰色系统理论中的相对关联度求出了各因素对二氧化碳排放量的影响程度,得到城市化水平和产业结构对二氧化碳排放量的影响最大,而经济增长的影响最小,进而使用脱钩理论分析了经济增长与二氧化碳排放量的脱钩关系,得出他们之间逐渐脱钩的趋势,从而进一步验证了灰色关联分析得出的经济增长与二氧化碳排放量影响较小的结论。最后针对研究结果提出了发展低碳城市、调整产业结构等相关减排建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 二氧化碳排放 灰色关联分析 脱钩分析 低碳城市 |
Gray Correlation Analysis of Carbon Dioxide Emission Factors in Gansu |
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| Yue Li,Chen Yao.Gray Correlation Analysis of Carbon Dioxide Emission Factors in Gansu[J].Journal of Guizhou Commercial College,2012,25(3):39-43. |
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| Authors: | Yue Li Chen Yao |
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| Institution: | (School of Economics, Lanzhou University, Gansu, Lanzhou 73000) |
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| Abstract: | Humans are becoming more and more focused on the climate change that caused by the carbon dioxide emis- sion. Although, there are many factors related to the carbon dioxide emission. By using the grey correlation analysis method, we figure out every factor＇s influence degree on the carbon dioxide emission. We find that urbanization and in- dustrial structure is the maximal affect factor and economic growth is the minimal. Then we use the decoupling to analy- sis the relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emission, and calculate its gradually decoupled tenden- cy. Furthermore, it confirms that economic growth is the minimal influence factor on the carbon dioxide emission. Final- ly, we recommend some emission reduction strategies such as developing Low - carbon city and readjusting its industrial structure |
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| Keywords: | 二氧化碳 emissions Gray correlation analysis Decoupling Low - carbon city |
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