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Macro Liquidity Risk,Money Growth,and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: The Case of Korea
Authors:Hosung Jung
Affiliation:The Bank of Korea, Seoul, Korea
Abstract:According to the homogeneity of money holding purpose, we decompose the broad money M2 into an underlying and a non-underlying part and propose innovations in future non-underlying M2 growth as a proxy for macro liquidity. In both the cross-sectional regression tests and the GMM tests, we find that risk related to innovations in future non-underlying M2 growth is strongly significantly priced in Korea, after controlling for the well-known risk factors and other macroeconomic variables. Meanwhile, risk related to innovations in future aggregate or underlying M2 growth is insignificantly priced. These results indicate that non-underlying M2 growth more directly affects macro liquidity than does aggregate or underlying M2 growth.
Keywords:broad money M2  cross-sectional regression test  economic tracking portfolio  GMM tests  innovations in future money growth  risk factor  underlying and non-underlying M2
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