Macro Liquidity Risk,Money Growth,and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: The Case of Korea |
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Authors: | Hosung Jung |
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Affiliation: | The Bank of Korea, Seoul, Korea |
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Abstract: | According to the homogeneity of money holding purpose, we decompose the broad money M2 into an underlying and a non-underlying part and propose innovations in future non-underlying M2 growth as a proxy for macro liquidity. In both the cross-sectional regression tests and the GMM tests, we find that risk related to innovations in future non-underlying M2 growth is strongly significantly priced in Korea, after controlling for the well-known risk factors and other macroeconomic variables. Meanwhile, risk related to innovations in future aggregate or underlying M2 growth is insignificantly priced. These results indicate that non-underlying M2 growth more directly affects macro liquidity than does aggregate or underlying M2 growth. |
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Keywords: | broad money M2 cross-sectional regression test economic tracking portfolio GMM tests innovations in future money growth risk factor underlying and non-underlying M2 |
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