环境规制的环境-经济效应研究

本文选取中国30个省级行政区(西藏和港澳台除外)2008-2016年数据分析环境规制影响经济发展的区域环境效率门槛,利用门槛回归模型研究区域环境效率变化在环境规制影响经济发展过程中的传导效应差异,并对其进行稳健性分析。研究发现:环境规制和区域环境效率的交叉项与经济发展之间呈现出显著的“U”型关系;在高环境效率地区,受环境规制影响时,区域环境效率提升可以更快地消除环境规制对经济发展带来的负面影响;在经济发达地区,受环境规制影响,区域环境效率提升可以在更大程度上强化环境规制对经济发展的积极作用。因此要制定适当的环境规制策略,加大研发投入,提高区域技术创新能力,促进生产工艺和技术改进,在环境规制压力下实现环境效率提升和经济发展的“共赢”局面。

On Environment-Economy Effects of Environmental Regulation

Taking data of 30 provincial administrative regions(except Tibet,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)of China in 2008-2016 years as an example,the paper analyzes the threshold of regional environmental efficiency in the process of environmental regulation influences economic development,explores the different effects of regional environmental efficiency changes in the process of environmental regulation affects economic development with threshold regression model,and also analyzes robustness.This study found that:the cross terms of environmental regulation and regional environmental efficiency have an influence on economic development,which showed“U”-shaped relationship;in high environment efficiency areas,with the impact of environmental regulation,regional environmental efficiency can quickly eliminate the negative impact of environmental regulation on economic development;in developed areas,with the impact of environmental regulation,regional environmental efficiency can strengthen the positive effect of environmental regulation on economic development in a large extent.Therefore,we should formulate appropriate environmental regulation strategies,increase R&D investment,improve regional technological innovation capability,promote production engineering and technology improvement,and achieve“all-win result”of environmental efficiency and economic development under the pressure of environmental regulation.