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Common belief of rationality in games of perfect information
Institution:Tel Aviv University, Faculty of Management, Tel Aviv, Israel;Department of Philosophy II, RUB Bochum, Universitaetsstrasse 150, 44780 Bochum, Germany;Université catholique de Louvain, Institut Supérieur de Philosophie, 14, place du Cardinal Mercier, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium;School of Management and Governance, Murdoch University, 90 South Street, Murdoch, WA 6150, Australia;Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, UK
Abstract:Aumann (1995) showed that for games with perfect information common knowledge of substantive rationality implies backward induction. Substantive rationality is defined in epistemic terms, that is, in terms of knowledge. We show that when substantive rationality is defined in doxastic terms, that is, in terms of belief, then common belief of substantive rationality implies backward induction. Aumann (1998) showed that material rationality implies backward induction in the centipede game. This result does not hold when rationality is defined doxastically. However, if beliefs are interpersonally consistent then common belief of material rationality in the centipede game implies common belief of backward induction.
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