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澳门酒店电脑系统模拟:趋势分析
引用本文:张毅,刘中学.澳门酒店电脑系统模拟:趋势分析[J].特区经济,2007(7):40-41.
作者姓名:张毅  刘中学
作者单位:1. 澳门理工学院
2. 暨南大学,珠海学院,广东,珠海,519000
摘    要:近几年来澳门酒店业经营状况显著改善,但潜在的风险正不断加剧。定量研究表明,澳门酒店入住率、入境人数、酒店客房数间存在长期均衡关系。根据澳门酒店电脑系统模拟预测,2007年酒店客房数增幅将远远超过入境人数的增幅,将导致2007年内酒店入住率下降至60%以内,部分一般酒店将面临无利可图甚至亏损,加大了酒店业的经营风险。

关 键 词:酒店入住率  入境人数  客房数  协整

Macau hotel computer system simulation: trend analysis
Zhang Yi,Liu Zhong Xue.Macau hotel computer system simulation: trend analysis[J].Special Zone Economy,2007(7):40-41.
Authors:Zhang Yi  Liu Zhong Xue
Abstract:The business of Macao hotel sector has been getting better in recently year, but the underlying risk of is rising. The quantitive research shows that there is a long term equilibrium among occupancy rate, rooms of hotel sector and visitor arrivals. Based on expection, the rooms of hotel sector will increase much more than visitor arrivals in 2007, and it will decrease the occupancy rate of hotel into under 60 percent. So that some ordinary hotels may De no profit and even lose their money.
Keywords:computer simulator  occupancy rate of hotel  visitor arrivals  cointegration
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