外商直接投资与我国农产品和食品贸易关系的研究

本文运用计量经济模型,对我国农产品和食品贸易与FDI之间的关系进行了研究,结果表明我国农产品和食品进口、出口和总贸易量与FDI之间皆存在长期稳定的均衡关系,而且这种关系具有互补性。在此基础上,本文还对各变量之间是否存在因果关系进行了检验,以便进一步揭示二者之间的联系。同时结合我国农产品和食品贸易与FDI的特点,对结果进行了相应的讨论。

A Research on the Relations between FDI and Trade in Agriculture and Food Industry in China

The aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between inflow foreign direct investment(FDI)and trade in agriculture and food industry in China based on econometric models. The empirical results indicate that there has positive co-integration and exists a strong complementary relationship between exports and FDI, or between imports and FDI, or between total trade and FDI. Additionally, the causal relationships between them are also further identified. Finally, some possible explanations are given after considering the characteristics of the trade and FDI in agriculture and food industry in China.