Bounds analysis of competing risks: a non-parametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration |
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Authors: | Melanie Arntz Simon M S Lo Ralf A Wilke |
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Institution: | 1. ZEW, Mannheim, Germany 2. Lingnan University, New Territories, Hong Kong 3. University of York, Yorkshire, UK
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Abstract: | By reexamining the effect of unemployment benefits on reemployment probabilities we make two contributions to the literature: first, we estimate separate effects for reemployment in the local or a distant region. Second, we address the problem of incomplete duration within a competing risks model. Our results confirm that missing data problems at first preclude any meaningful result even though we have access to daily individual data on 50 % of the male workforce in Germany. When we impose additional assumptions, we obtain evidence that the treatment effect depends on the household context, the treatment intensity and the destination state. |
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