| 我国经济发展水平与劳动力就业数量关系研究——兼论我国劳动力资源是否过剩 |
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| 引用本文： | 熊健益,丛日玉.我国经济发展水平与劳动力就业数量关系研究——兼论我国劳动力资源是否过剩[J].改革与战略,2008,24(9):26-28. |
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| 作者姓名： | 熊健益 丛日玉 |
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| 作者单位： | 成都信息工程学院统计系,四川,成都,610103 |
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| 基金项目： | 成都信息工程学院校科研和教改项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 我国劳动力对经济发展而言，其生产率高于资本，因而经济发展对劳动力就业的促进作用逐渐减弱（经济增长的就业弹性逐渐变小）。据测算，我国2013年以前劳动力就业压力很大，2015年以后劳动力又会供不应求。所以，我国未来经济发展中，2014年前后应采用不同的产业结构调整策略来充分满足劳动力就业的要求。
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| 关 键 词： | 就业弹性 年龄移算法 劳动力需求与供给 |
On the Quantitative Relationship Between Economic Development Level and Labor Force Employment in China The Issue of Labor Resources Surplus in China |
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| Xiong Jianyi,Cong Riyu.On the Quantitative Relationship Between Economic Development Level and Labor Force Employment in China The Issue of Labor Resources Surplus in China[J].Reformation & Strategy,2008,24(9):26-28. |
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| Authors: | Xiong Jianyi Cong Riyu |
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| Institution: | Xiong Jianyi,Cong Riyu (Department of statistics,Chengdu University of Information Technology,Chengdu,Sichuan 610103) |
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| Abstract: | In China, productivity of labor force is higher than that of capital, thus promotion of economic development to labor force employment has been weakening gradually （economic growth＇s employment elasticity has been reduced gradually）. It is indicated that the labor force employment will be a lot of pressure before 2013, but after 2015, the labor force will be short of demand. Therefore, different strategies should be adopted to adjust industrial structure to fully meet the employment requirement before and after 2014. |
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| Keywords: | employment elasticity age moving algorithm supply & demand of labor force |
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