传统制造业集群低碳转型升级的演化机理及策略研究

我国传统制造业集群不仅仅要转型升级，而且要走低碳化转型升级的道路。传统制造业集群的低碳转型升级是一个集群内企业互相作用，互相博弈，最终导致复杂现象涌现的复杂动态过程。文章运用演化博弈理论，从集群主体及其博弈行为的视角出发，分析传统制造业集群内企业竞合博弈关系，构建了传统制造业集群低碳转型升级的演化博弈模型，基于MATLAB平台，对集群低碳转型升级的稳定均衡策略、关键影响因素等进行情景仿真分析，最后给出促进集群低碳转型升级的策略建议。运用演化博弈理论和仿真手段来研究传统制造业集群的低碳转型升级，能够很好地体现集群企业动态的低碳转型策略选择，反应出集群内企业根据所处博弈环境不断改变自身低碳转型策略的机理。

A Study on the Evolution Mechanism and Strategies of Traditional Manufacturing Clusters' Low-carbon Transformation and Upgrading

Chinese traditional manufacturing clusters are in urgent need of a low-carbon transformation and upgrading. The low-carbon transformation and upgrading of traditional manufacturing clusters is a complex dynamic process. From the perspective of the microscopic clusters' agent, this paper analyzes the relationships of enterprises' competition and cooperation. Based on the view of evolutionary game theory, this paper establishes an evolutionary game model of traditional manufacturing clusters. Based on MATLAB, the paper simulates the stable equilibrium strategies and influence factors of clusters' low-carbon transformation and upgrading. In the end, some suggestions are given to improve the low-carbon transformation and upgrading of traditional manufacturing clusters. By using evolutionary game theory and simulations to study low-carbon transformation and upgrading of traditional manufacturing clusters, the paper clarifies the dynamic strategy choice of clusters enterprises' low-carbon transformation. It also shows the mechanism that the clusters enterprises change its own low-carbon transformation strategies according to the game environment change.