Reexamining the term structure of interest rates and the interwar demand for money |
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Authors: | Christopher F. Baum Clifford F. Thies |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Economics, Boston College, 02167, Chestnut Hill, MA 2. Byrd School of Business, Shenandoah University, 22601, Winchester, VA
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Abstract: | This paper reexamines whether the term structure of interest rates, rather than merely a single interest rate, should be included in the demand for money of the interwar era. In contrast to earlier work, we use cointegration techniques to model the equilibrium/error correction process, and find that a sufficiently rich dynamic model using a single interest rate has considerable explanatory power. Nevertheless, we conclude that the inclusion of the term structure may help to explain the turbulent monetary dynamics of the Depression era. |
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