我国外汇储备规模的计量模型与实证分析

近年来,我国外汇储备上升的速度相当迅猛,储备量居高不下。截至2008年12月末,我国外汇储备余额为19 460.3亿美元,将近是2006年10月外汇储备突破万亿大关时的两倍。巨额的外汇储备在某些方面的确有利于维护我国的经济安全,也可以体现我国的综合国力,但是持续过快的增长,也给我国的经济带来了许多不利影响。本文利用Eviews统计软件对影响我国外汇储备规模的诸因素进行回归分析,分析了导致我国外汇储备超常增长的主要原因及巨额的外汇储备对我国经济产生的不利影响,并对此提出若干解决措施。

Econometric Model and Empirical Analysis on China's Foreign Exchange Reserves Scale

In recent years,China's foreign exchange reserves rise sharply and remain high.As of the end of December,2008,the balance of foreign exchange reserves was USD1,946.03 billion,which was nearly 2 times higher than that in October,2006 when the foreign exchange reserves broke one trillion mark.The vast coffers of foreign exchange reserves are helpful to safeguard China's economic security to certain extent,as well as demonstrate the comprehensive national strength of China.However,the continuous and excessive ...