| 城市化、FDI与经济增长间关系的实证分析——以北京市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 康春鹏,齐志强.城市化、FDI与经济增长间关系的实证分析——以北京市为例[J].技术经济,2013(8):40-46,52. |
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| 作者姓名： | 康春鹏 齐志强 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]北京青年政治学院,北京100102 [2]中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所,北京100732 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1987—2011年北京的时间序列数据,采用单位根检验、协整检验、误差修正模型、Granger因果关系检验和脉冲函数分析等方法和模型,对城市化、FDI与经济增长三者间的长期和短期关系进行了检验和分析。结果表明:城市化与经济增长互为Granger因果关系;城市化与FDI也互为Granger因果关系;经济增长是FDI的Granger原因,但FDI不是经济增长的Granger原因的概率高达31.8%。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市化 FDI 经济增长 |
Empirical Research on Relationship among Urbanization, FDI and Economic Growth.A Case of Beijing |
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| Institution: | Kang Chunpeng , Qi Zhiqing (1. Beijing Youth Politics College,Beijing 100102,China; 2. Institute of Quantitative ＆ Technical Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100732 ,China) |
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| Abstract: | Using the time series data of Beijing from 1987 to 2011 ,this paper analyzes empirically the long-term and short-term relationships among urbanization,foreign direct investment （FDI） and economic growth through unit root test, co-integration test, error correction model, Granger causality test and impulse function analysis. The results show as follows;tbere is the mutually Granger causality between urbanization and economic growth, urbanization and FDI are also mutually Granger causality;economic growth is the Granger reason of FDI, while the proba- bility that FDI is not the Granger reason of economic growth is up to 31.8%. |
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| Keywords: | urbanization FDI economic growth |
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