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货币替代与贸易净值扰动性分析
引用本文:张亚斌,刘希岩,罗少卿,韩峰.货币替代与贸易净值扰动性分析[J].商业研究,2010(3).
作者姓名:张亚斌  刘希岩  罗少卿  韩峰
作者单位:湖南大学经济与贸易学院,长沙,410079
摘    要:货币替代对我国贸易水平是一种扰动性因素,其在不同的滞后期对贸易净值有不同的效应。货币替代的存在使贸易净值水平波动加大。要从货币替代的根源着手,从非贸易外汇来源分析,采取加强资本账户管理,控制通货膨胀率及使人民币国际化等措施来预防货币替代。

关 键 词:货币替代  贸易净值模型  货币替代扰动性  VAR模型

Analysis of Currency Substitution and Trade Net Perturbation
ZHANG Ya-bin,LIU Xi-yan,LUO Shao-qing,HAN Feng.Analysis of Currency Substitution and Trade Net Perturbation[J].Commercial Research,2010(3).
Authors:ZHANG Ya-bin  LIU Xi-yan  LUO Shao-qing  HAN Feng
Institution:School of Economy and Trade;Hunan University;Changsha 410079;China
Abstract:Currency substitution is a disturbance factor on the level of China′s foreign trade,and has different effects on net of trade in its different lag phases. The existence of currency substitution increases the fluctuations of the net of trade level. We should start from the root causes of currency substitution ,analyze from the non-trade sources of foreign exchange,and take steps,such as strengthening the capital account management,controlling inflation and making the RMB internationalization,to prevent currency substitution.
Keywords:currency substitution  trade net model  disturbance of currency substitution  VAR Model  
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