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汇率变动对我国商品贸易结构影响研究
引用本文:邓小华,李占风. 汇率变动对我国商品贸易结构影响研究[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2014, 0(8): 56-71
作者姓名:邓小华  李占风
作者单位:中南财经政法大学;安徽大学;中南财经政法大学
摘    要:汇率作为相对价格和政策变量,具有引导贸易流向和调整贸易结构的作用。由于汇率变动引起生产中所使用要素相对价格发生变化,从而改变一国生产某类商品比较优势程度发生变化,使统一汇率政策可以成为差别产业贸易政策。本文从我国进出口商品贸易结构以及贸易国别来源角度分析人民币汇率改制后我国进出口商品贸易结构变化。采用实证方法考察人民币实际汇率变动对我国进口和出口商品贸易结构的影响。

关 键 词:人民币汇率  商品贸易  产业政策  向量自回归

China's Foreign Exchange Rate Changes on Effect of Commodity Trade Structure
Deng Xiaohua and Li Zhanfeng. China's Foreign Exchange Rate Changes on Effect of Commodity Trade Structure[J]. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2014, 0(8): 56-71
Authors:Deng Xiaohua and Li Zhanfeng
Abstract:Exchange rate as the relative price and policy variables, guide a trade flows and the role of the trade structure adjustment. Due to exchange rate changes elements used in the production of relative price changes, so as to change a country produce certain goods change degree of comparative advantage, make unified currency policy can be a difference between industrial trade policy. In this paper, the source of China's import and export trade structure and trade country perspective structure of import and export trade of our country after reform of RMB exchange rate changes. Using empirical method to investigate the RMB real exchange rate change on the influence of the structure of imports and exports trade in our country.
Keywords:RMB Exchange Rate  Merchandise Trade  Industrial Policy  Vector Auto-Regression
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