Invertible and non-invertible information sets in linear rational expectations models |
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Authors: | Brad BaxterLiam Graham Stephen Wright |
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Affiliation: | a School of Economics, Maths & Statistics, Birkbeck College, University of London, UK b Department of Economics, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 7HX, UK |
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Abstract: | Rational expectations solutions are usually derived by assuming that all state variables relevant to forward-looking behaviour are directly observable, or that they are “…an invertible function of observables” (Mehra and Prescott, 1980). Using a framework that nests linearised DSGE models, we give a number of results useful for the analysis of linear rational expectations models with restricted information sets. We distinguish between instantaneous and asymptotic invertibility, and show that the latter may require significantly less information than the former. We also show that non-invertibility of the information set can have significant implications for the time series properties of economies. |
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Keywords: | Imperfect information Invertibility Rational expectations Fundamental versus nonfundamental time series representations Kalman filter Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium |
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