| 人民币名义汇率变动对中美贸易收支影响的研究——基于毕肯戴克—罗宾逊—梅茨勒条件视角的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 周文贵,陈梁.人民币名义汇率变动对中美贸易收支影响的研究——基于毕肯戴克—罗宾逊—梅茨勒条件视角的实证分析[J].广东金融学院学报,2011,26(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 周文贵 陈梁 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东外语外贸大学 国际经济贸易研究中心、国际经贸学院,广东广州,510420 |
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| 摘 要： | 从毕肯戴克—罗宾逊—梅茨勒条件的视角,同时考虑需求与供给两方面因素对中美贸易差额的影响,采用SPSS线性回归后退法分析中美贸易差额与人民币名义汇率、两国价格水平、国民收入、劳动力成本及储蓄率差额的相关关系,结果表明,中美双边货物贸易中美国的巨额逆差自有其深刻的经济政治原因,人民币升值无助于消除美国的逆差。
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| 关 键 词： | 中美贸易差额 人民币汇率 毕肯戴克—罗宾逊—梅茨勒条件 |
On the Relation Between the Sino-U.S. Trade Balance and the RMB Nominal Exchange Rate:An Empirical Analysis Based on Bickerdike-Robinson-Metzler Condition |
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| Zhou Wengui,Chen Liang.On the Relation Between the Sino-U.S. Trade Balance and the RMB Nominal Exchange Rate:An Empirical Analysis Based on Bickerdike-Robinson-Metzler Condition[J].Journal of Guangdong University of Finance,2011,26(6). |
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| Authors: | Zhou Wengui Chen Liang |
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| Institution: | Zhou Wengui and Chen Liang(Research Center for International Trade and Economics,School of International Trade and Economics,Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510420,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on Bickerdike-Robinson-Metzler Condition and in consideration of the impact of both demand and supply on the Sino-U.S.trade balance,this paper,by using SPSS linear regression method,analyzes the relation between the Sino-U.S.trade balance and the RMB nominal exchange rate against U.S.dollar,general price level,national income,labor cost in the both countries and the saving rate gap between China and the United States.It is found in the empirical study that the profound economic and political factors d... |
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| Keywords: | Sino-U S trade balance RMB nominal exchange rate Bickerdike-Robinson-Metzler Condition |
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