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中国股票市场发展与经济增长的实证研究
引用本文:吴鸣鸣,申丽萍.中国股票市场发展与经济增长的实证研究[J].技术经济与管理研究,2009(1):71-72.
作者姓名:吴鸣鸣  申丽萍
作者单位:1. 北京科技大学经济管理学院,北京,100083
2. 北京科技大学经济管理学院,北京,100083;华东理工大学,上海,200237
摘    要:本文运用Johansen协整检验、格兰杰因果检验等计量经济学方法,通过分析我国近年来宏观数据及股市规模、流动性和波动性的季度数据,对中国股票市场发展与经济增长的关系进行了计量学检验。得出的结论是:总体上,中国股票市场和经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系,经济增长对股市的发展具有一定促进作用,但股票市场对经济增长的作用十分有限。

关 键 词:股票市场  经济增长  格兰杰因果检验

Econometrics tests on the relationship between stock market and economic growth in China
WU Ming-ming,SHEN Li-ping.Econometrics tests on the relationship between stock market and economic growth in China[J].Technoeconomics & Management Research,2009(1):71-72.
Authors:WU Ming-ming  SHEN Li-ping
Institution:1.Economical & Management School;University of Science and Technology Beijing;Beijing 100083;2.East China University of Science and Technology;Shanghai 200237
Abstract:This paper makes an empirical research on the causality between the development of stock markets and the economic growth in China,by using some econometrics such as Johansen Co-integration Test,Granger Causality Test.The result shows,there is long-term equilibrium relationship between the development of stock market and the economic growth in China,and the economic growth could promote the stock market,but the stock market has limited effect on the economic growth.
Keywords:Stock market  economic growth  Granger Causality Test  
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