有效供给不足抑制中国消费需求——从长短期消费函数看消费不足的问题

2005年是中国经济改革的关键一年,但目前宏观经济中出现了GDP增速减缓和消费需求疲软的突出矛盾。如何解决这一矛盾?相关文献通常在凯恩斯短期消费函数的基础上,认为消费拖累了GDP增长,并建议实施提高消费倾向、刺激消费需求的宏观消费管理政策。文章通过长期消费函数分析后发现是有效供给不足压抑了消费。因此,文章建议从加强供给管理入手,为社会提供更多的有效供给才是化解宏观经济矛盾的战略选择。

The Short of Effective Supply Restrains the Consumption Demand in China

The year of 2005 is the key year of Chinese economy revolution. But presently there are contradictions that are the growing of the GDP slows down and the demand of consumption is weak. How to solve the problems? Based on the short consumption function, a lot of theories points out that the consumption restrains the growing of GDP. So we can realize the macro policy on the consumption management of improving the consumption trend to stimulate the consumption demand. The article points out the strategic choice that can resolve the macro economy contradiction is strength the supply management and bring more effective supply to the society.