| 我国股市指数波浪曲线的时间窗口研究——基于可公度法 |
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| 引用本文： | 文守逊,黄文明.我国股市指数波浪曲线的时间窗口研究——基于可公度法[J].技术经济,2011,30(1):99-104. |
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| 作者姓名： | 文守逊 黄文明 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆大学,经济与工商管理学院,重庆,400044 |
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| 基金项目： | 中央高校基本科研业务费科研专项人文社会科学类项目(CDJSK100208)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 以我国上证综合指数波浪曲线的顶位、底部的时间点为研究对象,利用可公度法分析了自1991年以来上证综合指数波浪曲线的特性。研究发现:上证综指波浪曲线的浪顶、浪底的时间窗口序列具有良好的可公度性特征,可公度法在预测股票市场指数波浪曲线的时间窗口方面具有一定精确性。
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| 关 键 词： | 波浪理论 股市指数 上证综合指数 可公度法 时间窗口 |
Study on Time Window of Wave Curve of China Stock Market Index:Based on Commensurability |
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| Wen Shouxun,Huang Wenming.Study on Time Window of Wave Curve of China Stock Market Index:Based on Commensurability[J].Technology Economics,2011,30(1):99-104. |
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| Authors: | Wen Shouxun Huang Wenming |
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| Institution: | Wen Shouxun,Huang Wenming(School of Economics and Business Administration,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper takes the time series of the top and bottom of wave curve of Shanghai Composite Index as the research object,and uses the commensurable method to analyze the characteristics of wave curve of Shanghai Composite Index since 1991.The result shows that the time window series of the top and bottom of wave curve of Shanghai Composite Index have good characteristics of commensurability,and the commensurable method has a certain accuracy on predicting time window of wave curve of stock market index. |
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| Keywords: | wave theory stock market index Shanghai Composite Index commensurable method time window |
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