消费和投资与经济增长关系的实证分析

中国目前正处于“外忧内患”的时期，美国的次贷危机使得全球经济恶化，通过外需刺激经济增长非常有限，同时内需也相当不足。面对危机，中国要确保今后几年经济呈现良性循环发展，温家宝总理在2009年政府工作报告中指出：坚持扩大内需方针，调整投资和消费的关系，促进经济增长由主要依靠投资、出口拉动向依靠消费、投资、出口协调拉动转变。文章主要通过建立计量经济分析模型，实证分析投资需求和消费需求与经济增长的关系。

The Relations on Consumption and Investment to Economic Growth

China is now at a special period of External Problem and Domestic Trouble,the sub-loan crisis caused by the United States makes the deterioration of the global economy.Not only the foreign demand stimulate economic growth is limited,but also the domestic demand is inadequate.To deal with the crisis,China should ensure positive cycle economy in the following years.In the government work report in 2009,the premier Wen Jiabao pointed out: the government will continue to boost domestic demand,adjust the relatio...