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Prudent expectations equilibrium in economies with uncertain delivery
Authors:João Correia-da-Silva  Carlos Hervés-Beloso
Affiliation:(1) CEMPRE and Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto, Rua Dr Roberto Frias, 4200-464 Porto, Portugal;(2) RGEA, Facultad de Económicas, Universidad de Vigo, Campus Lagoas Marcosende, 36310 Vigo, Spain
Abstract:In an economy with private information, we introduce the notion of objects of choice as lists of bundles out of which the market selects one for delivery. This leads to an extension of the model of Arrow–Debreu that is used to study trade ex ante with private state verification. Under the assumption that agents are prudent, equilibrium is characterized by the fact that agents consume bundles with the same utility in states that they do not distinguish. This is a weaker condition than the restriction of equal consumption imposed by Radner (Econometrica 36(1), 31–58, 1968), therefore, some no trade situations are avoided and the efficiency of trade increases.
Keywords:General equilibrium  Private information  Radner equilibrium  Differential information  Incomplete information  Knightian uncertainty  Ambiguity  Incomplete contracts  Uncertain delivery  Lists of bundles
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