| 基于Logistic模型的房地产行业信用风险研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 肖冰,李春红.基于Logistic模型的房地产行业信用风险研究[J].技术经济,2010,29(3):65-68. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 肖冰 李春红 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 重庆大学经济与工商管理学院,重庆,400030 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文运用Logistic模型对房地产行业的信贷违约风险进行评估和预测,并对模型的拟合优度进行了检验,论证了该模型的实用性和准确性,得出房地产行业具有特殊的信贷风险特征的结论,并指出除财务指标外,宏观经济指标也是影响我国房地产公司信用风险的重要因素。
|
| 关 键 词： | 房地产行业 信贷风险 Logistic回归分析 主成分分析 |
Research on Credit Risk in Real Estate Industry Based on Logistic Model |
| |
| Xiao Bing,Li Chunhong.Research on Credit Risk in Real Estate Industry Based on Logistic Model[J].Technology Economics,2010,29(3):65-68. |
| |
| Authors: | Xiao Bing Li Chunhong |
| |
| Institution: | Economics and Business Administration School/a>;Chongqing University/a>;Chongqing 400030/a>;China |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the Logistic model,this paper uses the maximum likelihood estimation method to estimate the parameters,and assesses and predicts the credit default risk in real estate industry,and makes a goodness-of-fit test to this model.The conclusion is that the real estate industry has special credit risk features. |
| |
| Keywords: | real estate industry credit risk Logistic regression analysis principal component analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《技术经济》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《技术经济》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
