河南省第三产业结构发展趋势预测与灰关联分析

笔者通过运用等维灰数递补模型对河南省第三产业产值、城镇居民人均可支配收入、交通运输仓储及邮电通信业、批发和零售贸易餐饮业、金融保险业、房地产业产值进行预测，认为河南第三产业结构自“十五”后趋于合理，房地产业、公交邮电通讯业、批零商业等日趋重要，相应的对策是应在保持这些产业优势的基础上，大力发展一些新行业，促进河南第三产业健康发展和人民生活水平持续提高。

Forecast and Grey Correlation Analysis of the Developing Tendency of the Third Industry Structure in Henan Province

Using equal-dimension gray filling model,the author forecasts the output value of the third industry of Henan province,urban per capita disposable income,the output value of such industries as transportation,storage,post and communications,wholescale and retail trade,catering,finance,insurance and real estate,and thinks that the structure of the third industry tends to be rational after the tenth five-year plan and the industries of real estate,public transportation,post and communications,wholescale and retail business,etc are becoming more and more important.The corresponding countermeasure should be maintaining the advantages of these industries and developing some new industries at the same time to promote the healthy development of the third industry and the continuous improvement of the people's living standard.