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基于误差修正模型的制造业与生产性服务业、货物贸易的关系研究——以江苏为例
引用本文:李进才.基于误差修正模型的制造业与生产性服务业、货物贸易的关系研究——以江苏为例[J].内蒙古财经学院学报,2012(2):42-47.
作者姓名:李进才
作者单位:江苏信息职业技术学院工商管理系,江苏无锡,214153
基金项目:江苏省教育厅2009年度高校哲学社会科学基金项目
摘    要:根据江苏省1989-2009年的相关统计数据,对江苏省制造业与生产性服务业、货物贸易的长期和短期的关系进行协整检验并建立向量误差修正模型,结果显示它们之间存在长期的均衡关系和短期的修正效应。制造业的发展带动了生产性服务业的发展,货物贸易的发展促进了制造业和生产性服务业的发展,相对于货物贸易,生产性服务业的作用没有完全显现,加快生产性服务业发展,促进与制造业的有机融合具有非常重要的经济意义。

关 键 词:制造业  生产性服务业  货物贸易  VEC模型

A Study of the Goods Trading Relation of Manufacturing Business and Producer Service Industry Based on ECM A Case of Jiangsu Province
LI Jin-cai.A Study of the Goods Trading Relation of Manufacturing Business and Producer Service Industry Based on ECM A Case of Jiangsu Province[J].Journal of Inner Mongolia Finance and Economics College,2012(2):42-47.
Authors:LI Jin-cai
Institution:LI Jin-cai(Jiangsu College of Information Technology,Wuxi,Jiangsu,214153)
Abstract:According to the relevant statistic data from 1989 to 2009 in Jiangsu province,this paper undertakes a cointegration test and establishes VECM to study the relation between manufacturing business and producer service industry and the relation between the long term and short term of goods trading.The result shows that there exist long term balanced relation and short term modifying effect.The development of manufacturing business promotes the development of producer service industry.The development of goods trading promotes the development of manufacturing business and producer service industry.Compared to goods trading,the function of producer service industry has not fully displayed.Therefore,it is of economic significance to fasten the development of producer service industry and promote the integration with manufacturing business.
Keywords:manufacturing business producer service industry goods trading VEC model
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