| 基于灰色系统理论的常州市物流需求预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 隆惠君,卓岩,江涛涛,邓淑芬. 基于灰色系统理论的常州市物流需求预测[J]. 物流科技, 2008, 31(6): 51-54 |
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| 作者姓名： | 隆惠君 卓岩 江涛涛 邓淑芬 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏工业学院,江苏,常州,213164 |
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| 摘 要： | 地区性的物流需求预测对于制定宏观经济政策和促进地区经济发展具有重要意义。根据常州市近10年来的物流需求变化，建立了灰色预测的GM（1，1）模型，通过计算对常州市今后10年的物流需求进行了预测，为政府规划地区物流发展提供相关理论参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 物流需求 货运量 灰色预测 GM(1,1)模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-3100(2008)06-0051-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-11-20 |
Logistics Demand Forecast of Changzhou Based on Gray Theory |
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| LONG Hui-jun,ZHUO Yan,JIANG Tao-tao,DENG Shu-fen. Logistics Demand Forecast of Changzhou Based on Gray Theory[J]. Logistics Management, 2008, 31(6): 51-54 |
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| Authors: | LONG Hui-jun ZHUO Yan JIANG Tao-tao DENG Shu-fen |
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| Affiliation: | (Jiangsu Polytechnic University, Changzhou 213164, China) |
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| Abstract: | A regional logistics demand forecast for the formulation of macroeconomic policies and the promotion of regional economic development is of great significance. In order to provide theoretical reference for government to plan the development of regional logistics, based on the past 10 years change of Changzhou's logistics demand, this paper establishes a gray forecast GM(1,1) model, then forecasts the next decade logistics demand of Changzhou, according to some calculation. |
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| Keywords: | logistics demand cargo gray forecast GM(1 1) model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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