中国烟草及烟草制品的国际竞争力及影响因素分析

本文在分析我国烟草及烟草制品贸易特点的基础上,运用国际市场占有率、贸易竞争力指数和显示性比较优势指数等三个指标对中国烟草及烟草制品的国际竞争力进行了测定,并通过建立计量经济学模型对其国际竞争力的影响因素进行了实证分析。结果表明:中国烟草及其制品的国际竞争力整体处于弱势状态,并且呈现波动下降的趋势。国内产量、出口价格、人民币汇率的变化、加入世贸组织、品牌和技术等对我国烟草及其制品的国际竞争力具有显著影响。为此,必须着力改善产品质量、大力加强品牌建设、努力推动技术创新等。

Analysis on International Competitiveness of Chinese Tobacco and Tobacco Products and Its Influencing Factors

Based on the analysis of tobacco and tobacco products’ trade characteristics,this paper employs the international market share,trade competitiveness index and revealed comparative advantage index to determine the international competitiveness of Chinese tobacco and tobacco products,and empirically analyzes its influencing factors by building econometric model.The results show that the international competitiveness of Chinese tobacco and tobacco products is weak,and becomes less competitive.The output,export price,exchange rate,WTO,brand and technology all have appreciable impacts on the international competitiveness of Chinese tobacco and tobacco products.Some measures should be taken,such as improving the product quality and strengthening the brand building,promoting technological innovation,etc.