| 公积金制度对上海住房市场发展的影响研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 杨刚,吴燕华.公积金制度对上海住房市场发展的影响研究[J].经济经纬,2012(4):85-89. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 杨刚 吴燕华 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江农林大学,浙江杭州332600;上海财经大学,上海200433
2. 浙江农林大学,浙江杭州,332600 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 浙江省教育厅项目，上海财经大学研究生创新基金 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为研究住房公积金制度在上海住房市场发展过程中的作用,笔者通过运用状态空间模型与卡尔曼滤波解法的实证分析认为,住房公积金制度对上海市住房市场的量价都有很大的影响。在有力提高了居民住房消费能力的同时,也是助推房价泡沫化的一个重要因素,这种助推力主要源于政府拆迁。因此目前的房地产调控政策应该进行微调,以充分发挥公积金制度的积极作用和抑制其不利影响,进一步完善我国的住房保障体系。
|
| 关 键 词： | 状态空间模型 卡尔曼滤波 住房公积金 住房市场 量价 |
A Research on the Impacts of Housing Provident Fund System to Shanghai Housing Market Development |
| |
| YANG Gang
,
WU Yan-hua.A Research on the Impacts of Housing Provident Fund System to Shanghai Housing Market Development[J].Economic Survey,2012(4):85-89. |
| |
| Authors: | YANG Gang WU Yan-hua |
| |
| Institution: | 1(1.Zhejiang Agriculture and Forest University,Hangzhou 332600,China;2.Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | With state-space models and Kalman filtering solution,the empirical analysis shows that the Housing Provident Fund System of Shanghai has great impacts on Shanghai housing market in both the volume and price by pushing high the house purchasing power of Shanghai citizens and leading to Shanghai housing bubble.The influence on bubble mainly comes from the reconstruction plan by Shanghai government.It is advised to modify the present housing market policies of Shanghai as well as China to exploit the positive function of the Provident Fund System and restrain its adverse effects to further improve China’s housing security system. |
| |
| Keywords: | State-space Model Kalman Filter Housing Provident Fund Housing Market Volume and Price |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
