| 中国对外直接投资对进出口贸易的影响分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡昭玲,宋平.中国对外直接投资对进出口贸易的影响分析[J].经济经纬,2012(3):65-69. |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡昭玲 宋平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南开大学跨国公司研究中心,天津300071;南开大学国际经济贸易系,天津300071
2. 南开大学国际经济贸易系,天津,300071 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部重点研究基地重大项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 笔者在分析对外直接投资对进出口贸易影响机制的基础上,使用1993年～2009年中国对105个国家(地区)直接投资和进出口贸易的面板数据,应用动态VAR模型和面板格兰杰因果检验方法对我国的情况进行实证研究。结果表明:我国对外直接投资与出口及进口之间均存在双向格兰杰因果关系,对外直接投资是贸易创造型的,但这种创造效应还较为有限。因此,应积极发展对外直接投资,并发挥其与贸易的良性互动关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 对外直接投资 进出口贸易 影响机制 面板格兰杰因果检验 |
An Analysis of the Effects of OFDI on China' s Foreign Trade |
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| HU Zhao-ling
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SONG Ping.An Analysis of the Effects of OFDI on China' s Foreign Trade[J].Economic Survey,2012(3):65-69. |
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| Authors: | HU Zhao-ling SONG Ping |
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| Institution: | 1.Center for Transnationals’ Studies,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China; 2.Department of International Economics and Trade,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China) |
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| Abstract: | The effects of outward foreign direct investment(OFDI) on China’s foreign trade is disscussed.theoretically,there is no definite conclusion concerning the relationship between FDI and foreign trade.This paper analyzes the mechanism through which OFDI affects import and export.In light of the panel data covering 105 countries(regions) during 1993~2009,a positive research is conducted on OFDI on China’s foreign trade with panel Granger causality test based on panel VAR model.It is found that there is two-way Granger causality between China’s OFDI and export,and the same relationship exists between China’s OFDI and import;OFDI has trade creating effects on China’s import and export,though the effects are still limited.Therefore,China should actively develop OFDI and promote benign interaction between OFDI and foreign trade. |
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| Keywords: | Outward Foreign Direct Investment Import and Export Trade Affecting Mechanism Panel Granger Causality Test |
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