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Portfolio selection with heavy tails
Affiliation:1. Faculty of Economics, The University of Seoul, Seoul, 130-743, South Korea;2. Tinbergen Institute, The Netherlands;3. Department of Accounting and Finance H8-33 Erasmus University Rotterdam, PO Box 1738, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, The Netherlands;4. EURANDOM, The Netherlands
Abstract:
Consider the portfolio problem of choosing the mix between stocks and bonds under a downside risk constraint. Typically stock returns exhibit fatter tails than bonds corresponding to their greater downside risk. Downside risk criteria like the safety first criterion therefore often select corner solutions in the sense of a bonds only portfolio. This is due to a focus on the asymptotically dominating first order Pareto term of the portfolio return distribution. We show that if second order terms are taken into account, a balanced solution emerges. The theory is applied to empirical examples from the literature.
Keywords:
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