| Abstract: | The interfutures project used a scenario approach and focused on issues of economic development over the next 20 years. The author describes the five main stages of scenario construction and gives a summary of the six scenarios which were finally chosen. The scenarios provide possible boundaries for the world economy in the year 2000. If there are no major discontinuities, most OECD countries are likely to experience structural unemployment, protectionism, and moderate rates of growth throughout the next decade—the outlook for Third-world countries is perhaps more favourable, with growth rates generally higher than in the OECD countries. |
