中国农村非农就业机会的代际流动

分别对不同年份的CHNS数据进行分析的结果表明,上世纪90年代中国农村非农就业机会的代际相关性有减弱的趋势。然而固定效应模型表明,这种相关关系有一部分是由家庭的不变特征决定的;工作机会在一定程度上也通过人力资本的投资来传递。消除固定效应后,户主对于子女的影响依然显著;多数结果表明,1997年和2000年的代际相关性要高于较早的年份。本文还分析了社区就业水平和外出打工对于代际流动以及非农就业机会的影响,并考察了单位所有制以及职业类型的代际流动。

Intergenerational Mobility of Off-farm Job Opportunities in Rural China

This article estimates the effect of house heads' job opportunities on those of their sons in the 1990s. Using a longitudinal data set (CHNS), cross section estimates show that the intergenerational correlation of off-farm job opportunities decreased in the 1990s, indicating rising mobility. Human capital explains part of the correlation. Time-invariant factors account for significant part of the correlation as well, especially in the early 1990s. In fixed effect models, the intergenerational correlation increased.