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Does the stock market drive herd behavior in commodity futures markets?
Institution:1. Department of Economics & Finance, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville, Edwardsville, IL 62026-1102, United States;2. Department of Banking and Finance, National Chi Nan University, 1 University Rd., Puli, Nantou Hsien 54561, Taiwan;3. Department of Economics, University of Texas, San Antonio, One UTSA Circle, San Antonio, TX 78249, United States
Abstract:This paper contributes to the debate on commodity financialization by extending tests of herd behavior to commodity futures markets. Utilizing a regime-switching model, we test the presence of herd behavior in a number of commodity sectors including energy, metals, grains and livestock during the low and high market volatility states. We find significant evidence of herd behavior in grains only during the high volatility state. We also find that large price movements in the energy and metal sectors significantly contribute to herd behavior in the market for grains. Finally, we find no significant effect of the stock market on herd behavior in the commodity futures market. Our findings in general do not support the much debated commodity financialization hypothesis.
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