高油价原因透视及对我国经济发展的影响

石油被誉为“工业的血液” ,其价格持续走高必然会对各国经济产生重大影响。据有关国际组织估计 ,每桶石油价格上涨 1 0美元 ,就会使通货膨胀上升 0 5 % ,使经济增长率降低 0 2 5 % ,失业率增长 0 0 1 %。作为世界石油消费大国和进口大国的中国 ,无疑会受到国际高油价的影响。本文回顾了 2 0 0 4年 1～ 9月国内外油价走势 ,对高油价原因进行了透视 ,分析了高油价对我国经济发展的影响 ,并提出了应对措施

The Influence of High Petroleum Price on Economic Development of China

Petroleum is known as the industrial blood. Its price goes up constantly and will undoubtedly influence on every country economy. According to estimation of the international organization, the price on the petroleum of each barrel increase by $10, inflation will increase by 0.5%, economic growth rate will reduce by 0.25%, unemployment rate will increase by 0.01%. China, as a petroleum consumer large country and as a large petroleum import country, undoubtedly will be influenced by world high petroleum price. The paper has looked back the domestic and international petroleum price trend of the 1-9 month of 2004 and analyzes the reasons of high petroleum price and the influence on economic development of china. Then authors put forward same countermeasures.