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“十一五”我国建筑业发展预测模型建立和应用
引用本文:吴子稳,骆浩,傅为忠. “十一五”我国建筑业发展预测模型建立和应用[J]. 科技和产业, 2007, 7(5): 62-64,79
作者姓名:吴子稳  骆浩  傅为忠
作者单位:合肥工业大学,管理学院,合肥,230009
摘    要:
基于灰色理论建立建筑业的GM(1,1)发展预测模型,对我国建筑业的发展进行预测,并运用多元回归预测模型进行验证比较,两种不同的预测方法得出的结论是一致的,“十一五”期间我国建筑业将继续保持较快增长。

关 键 词:建筑业  灰色  预测  多元回归
文章编号:1671-1807(2007)05-0062-03
修稿时间:2006-12-25

Establishment and Application of the Prediction Model of Our Construction Industry Development in Eleventh Five Year Plan
WU Zi-wen,LUO Hao,FU Wei-zhong. Establishment and Application of the Prediction Model of Our Construction Industry Development in Eleventh Five Year Plan[J]. SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL, 2007, 7(5): 62-64,79
Authors:WU Zi-wen  LUO Hao  FU Wei-zhong
Abstract:
Establishes the GM(1,1) development prediction model of the construction industry which based on the gray system theories in this paper, and uses the prediction model to forecast our construction industry development, the paper validated the development prediction model and multiple regression,then get the conclusion of two kinds of prediction method are the same,our construction industry will remain growing fast in e-leventh five year plan.
Keywords:construction industry  the gray system theory  prediction  multi-regression
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