福建省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究

福建省利用外资和对外贸易位居全国前列,对推动经济增长起到了重要作用。本文根据1981-2006年福建省统计数据,运用协整检验和误差修正模型,对福建省FDI流入、对外贸易与经济增长关系进行实证研究。结果表明,从长期看,福建省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,FDI、出口和进口明显促进了经济增长。从短期看,FDI、对外贸易与经济增长的长期均衡水平产生了偏离,但偏离误差修正的速度较快。最后,就福建外商直接投资、对外贸易和经济增长协调发展提出了若干政策建议。

An Empirical Research on the Relationship among FDI, Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Fu-jian Province

Fu-jian province has been leading China in the increasing rate and scale of foreign direct investment and foreign trade in recent years.The fast development of foreign direct investment and foreign trade in Fu-jian plays a very important role in promoting the economic growth.Based on the statistics of Fu-jian province in 1981-2006,by using the co-integration test and error correction model,this paper makes an empirical research on the relationship among foreign direct investment,foreign trade and economic growth in Fu-jian province.The result of which shows that:from the long-term perspective,there exists in Fu-jian province a long and equilibrium relationship among foreign direct investment,foreign trade and economic growth,and foreign direct investment,import and export trade obviously promote economic growth.From the short-term perspective,foreign direct investment and foreign trade deviate the long-term equilibrium of economic growth in Fu-jian province,and the error has been corrected rapidly.Finally,this paper puts forward some advices on the harmonious development of foreign direct investment,foreign trade and economic growth in Fu-jian province.