| 中国CO_2排放与经济增长联动性实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 龙志和,陈青青.中国CO_2排放与经济增长联动性实证分析[J].经济经纬,2011(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 龙志和 陈青青 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南理工大学经济与贸易学院,广东广州,510006 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(71071060) |
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| 摘 要： | 笔者在测算我国1953年～2007年间CO2排放量的基础上,通过对数据的经济计量检验,建立联立方程组模型,研究CO2排放量与人均GDP间双向因果关系,并分析各种因素对CO2排放量的影响。实证结果显示,我国CO2排放量与人均GDP间变动关系并不是简单EKC模型中的倒U型,有着更为复杂的相互作用关联。人均GDP提高导致CO2排放量上升的同时,能源利用效率的提高、能源消费结构的改善,以及资本设备更新速度的加快,都将减少CO2排放。
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| 关 键 词： | CO_2排放量 联立方程组模型 经济增长 |
An Empirical Analysis of the Correlation between Carbon Dioxide Emission and Economic Growth in China |
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| LONG Zhi-he,CHEN Qing-qing.An Empirical Analysis of the Correlation between Carbon Dioxide Emission and Economic Growth in China[J].Economic Survey,2011(4). |
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| Authors: | LONG Zhi-he CHEN Qing-qing |
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| Institution: | LONG Zhi-he,CHEN Qing-qing(School of Economics and Commerce,South China University of Technology,Guangz hou 510006,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the measurement of Chinese CO2 emissions in 1953-2007,the a uthors construct simultaneous equations model through the econometric tests of the data,and study the two-way causality between CO2 emissions and GDP percapita,and the authors analyze the factors that influence CO2emissions.The empirical results show that Chinese CO2 emissions and percapita GDP is a complex in teraction instead of a reversed U in the simple EKC model.Increasing percapita GDP can lead to more CO2 emissions,but at the same t... |
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| Keywords: | carbon dioxide emission simultaneous equations model economic growth |
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