| 我国服务业FDI与服务贸易关系的实证研究:1985～2008 |
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| 引用本文： | 王诏怡,刘艳.我国服务业FDI与服务贸易关系的实证研究:1985～2008[J].工业技术经济,2011,30(8). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王诏怡 刘艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 广东邮电职业技术学院,广州,510630
2. 广东金融学院,广州,510520 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文运用协整理论与向量误差修正模型(VECM),对中国1985~2008年的服务业FDI与服务贸易进出口的关系进行了实证分析。实证结果表明,中国服务业FDI与服务贸易进出口之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系。服务业FDI与服务贸易出口之间存在双向的Granger因果关系,服务业FDI与服务贸易进口之间存在一个单向的Granger因果关系,服务贸易出口和进口之间也存在双向的Granger因果关系。基于检验结果提出了相关的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 服务业FDI 服务贸易 协整分析 VECM |
An Empirical Study on the Relationship Between FDI in Services and Service Trade in China: 1985 ～ 2008 |
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| Wang Zhaoyi,Liu Yan.An Empirical Study on the Relationship Between FDI in Services and Service Trade in China: 1985 ～ 2008[J].Industrial Technology & Economy,2011,30(8). |
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| Authors: | Wang Zhaoyi Liu Yan |
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| Institution: | Wang Zhaoyi1 Liu Yan2(1.Guangdong Post and Professional Technology Institute,Guangzhou 510630,China,2.Guangdong University of Finance,Guangzhou 510520,China) |
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| Abstract: | In accordance with the theory of co-integration and the error correction model,this paper discusses the relationship between FDI in services and Services trade in China based on the data from 1985 to 2008.The result shows that there exists a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between them,the export of trade in service and FDI in services have a two-way causality relation.Therefore,FDI in services does not have an obvious contribution to service trade,the utilization of FDI in services has not comple... |
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| Keywords: | FDI in services services trade co-integration analysis VECM |
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