海南省蔬菜产业对经济发展的影响研究

目的]探求海南省蔬菜产业对其经济发展的影响程度,以期更好地布局当地蔬菜产业,从而促进当地经济进一步发展。方法]文章分别构建海南省蔬菜产业、现代经济发展的评价指标体系。其中蔬菜产业指标体系的建立主要是从区域蔬菜产品生产能力、区域蔬菜产业化的基础、农业资源、蔬菜生产条件等4个方面确定了6个评价指标;现代经济发展指标体系的建立主要从经济增长、经济关系、经济结构、经济制度、经济协调和可持续发展等5个方面确立了9个评价指标。选取海南省2000~2014年的相关指标统计数据,运用因子分析法和spss22.0确定主变量,并运用灰色关联分析确定二者的相对关联度。结果]人均蔬菜产量的特征值为6.294,明显大于1,累计占89.915%,因此影响海南省蔬菜产业的各因素中人均蔬菜产量为主变量;GDP环比增长指数的特征值为8.921,明显大于1,累计占81.085,因此现代经济发展指标体系的主变量为GDP环比增长指数。结论]海南省蔬菜产业与经济发展的2个主变量(人均蔬菜产量与GDP环比增长指数相关度为0.54)中度相关,在一定程度上说明了海南省蔬菜产业发展对其现代经济的发展起到了促进作用。海南省蔬菜产业的发展促进了海南省农业产业结构的调整,有效增加了农民收入,同时助力海南省现代经济的发展。

THE EFFECT OF VEGETABLE INDUSTRY ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN HAINAN PROVINCE

This paper analyzed the status of vegetable industry and the economic development in Hainan province, and established two evaluation index systems on vegetable industry and economic development. The index system of vegetable industry was mainly established from four major aspects, i.e., the regional vegetable product production capacity, regional vegetable industrialization, agricultural resources, and vegetable production conditions. The modern economic development index system was mainly from the economic growth, economic relations, economic structure, economic system, economic coordination and sustainable development. Then based on the relevant indicators of statistical data in Hainan province from 2000 to 2014, it determined the per capita vegetable production and GDP growth as the main index using the factor analysis method and spss22.0. The correlation between them was analyzed by the gray relational analysis. The results showed that the vegetable industry in Hainan Province had an important impact on the economic development. Finally, it put forward four recommendations, including improving land utilization and promoting the appropriate scale of vegetable industry development, increasing the brand building of the vegetable industry products and actively applying for geographical indications of vegetable products, promoting the vegetable industry production base and cooperative construction and the development of vegetable industry cluster, and actively cultivating industry and technical personnel to improve the vegetable industry technical level.