| 基于情景分析的武夷新区主导产业发展研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 盛姝睿,王月玲. 基于情景分析的武夷新区主导产业发展研究[J]. 福建商业高等专科学校学报, 2014, 0(6): 1-7 |
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| 作者姓名： | 盛姝睿 王月玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州,350108 |
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| 基金项目： | 福州大学“南平市政府迁址原因及其社会影响”调研项目部分研究成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用情景分析法构建武夷新区主导产业发展的短期和长期情景,并结合层次分析法对每种情景进行分析。研究结果表明:短期情景下,资金投入对武夷新区主导产业发展最为重要。长期情景下,环境则是制约该区产业发展最重要因素。无论是长期情景还是短期情景,武夷新区都应优先发展旅游、商贸服务和林产加工三大产业。
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| 关 键 词： | 武夷新区 主导产业 情景分析 层次分析 |
Scenario Analysis of Leading Industry in Wuyi New District4 |
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| SHENG Shu-rui,WANG Yue-ling. Scenario Analysis of Leading Industry in Wuyi New District4[J]. Journal of Fujian Commercial College, 2014, 0(6): 1-7 |
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| Authors: | SHENG Shu-rui WANG Yue-ling |
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| Affiliation: | SHENG Shu - rui WANG Yue - ling(School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper uses scenario analysis method to construct short- term scenario and long- term scenario and adopts analytic hierarchy process（ AHP） to analyze the each scenario. Research shows that fund is the most important factor for short- term scenario,while environmental condition can influence industry development in long- term scenario,and Wuyi new area should give priority to develop tourism,business service and forest industry. |
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| Keywords: | Wuyi new district leading industry scenario analysis analytic hierarchy process（AHP） |
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