Epistemology and public policy: using a new typology to analyse the paradigm shift in Finnish transport futures studies |
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Authors: | Petri Tapio Olli Hietanen |
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Institution: | Environmental Research Units, Finland Futures Research Centre, Turku School of Economics and Business Administration, PO-Box 110, Fin-20521 Turku, Finland |
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Abstract: | The aim of the article is to present a new typology of paradigms of futures studies with specific focus on decision-making. Possible roles of futurists and other actors in long-term planning and decision-making processes are formed using logical analysis. The resulting seven schools of thought are interpreted in the light of literature of futures studies and planning theory. Connections to the philosophical discussion on the role of knowledge and values in policy recommendations are presented as well. Some futures studies methodological applications are attached to the paradigms. The new typology forms a gradient from technocracy performed by professionals to direct citizen participation. Finally, the paradigm shift of Finnish national transport futures studies is analysed using the new typology. |
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