| 服务贸易出口对我国经济增长影响的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 何宗辉.服务贸易出口对我国经济增长影响的实证研究[J].广西财政高等专科学校学报,2014(1):65-70. |
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| 作者姓名： | 何宗辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京邮电大学经济管理学院,北京100876 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1982～2011年的数据进行实证分析，从短期和长期两个角度入手，着重讨论了服务贸易出口对中国经济增长的贡献。短期内，通过构建拉动度和贡献度两个函数可知服务贸易出口对国内经济增长具有拉动作用；长期内，进一步运用Granger因果检验和0LS回归分析的方法得出结论，服务贸易出口是国内经济增长的Granger原因且能显著的拉动中国经济增长，但国内经济增长不构成服务贸易出口的Granger原因。
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| 关 键 词： | 服务贸易出口 经济增长 格兰杰因果检验 OLS回归分析 |
An Empirical Research of the Influences of Service Trade Exports on the Domestic Economic Growth |
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| HE Zong-hui.An Empirical Research of the Influences of Service Trade Exports on the Domestic Economic Growth[J].Journal of Guangxi Financial College,2014(1):65-70. |
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| Authors: | HE Zong-hui |
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| Institution: | HE Zong-hui (School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China) |
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| Abstract: | Analyzing based on the data collected from 1982 to 2011,the article focuses on the contributions of exports of trade in services to the domestic economic growth in both short term and long term. In the short term,by building two functions of pulling rate and contribution rate we can conclude that trade in ser- vices has a pulling effect on economic growth. In the long term,by means of Granger Causality Test and OLS Return Analysis we can conclude that exports of trade in services is the Granger cause of domestic e- conomic growth and it can stimulate economic growth remarkably. But domestic economic growth cannot be the reason of Granger cause of exports of trade in |
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| Keywords: | exports of trade in services economic services growth Granger Causality Test OLS Return Analysis |
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