北京城市化与经济增长研究

北京城市化具有起点高、速度快等特点,伴随城市化进程,北京国内生产总值增长迅速、三次产业比重发生了变化:一二产业增加值在国内生产总值中比重不断下降;第三产业比重大副上升。通过相关分析北京城市化与经济增长及第三产业发展显著正相关,与一二产业发展负相关,这利于劳动力从第一二产业向第三产业转移以促进城市化,同时城市化可以推动经济增长。与钱纳里模型相比:北京第一产业比重大副下降和第三产业超常发展可有效促进城市化水平进一步提高,这对其他省份城市化进程具有借鉴意义。

Researches on the Beijing Urbanization and Economic Growth

The starting point of the Beijing urbanization is high and the speed is fast. With the course of the urbanization, Beijings economy increases quickly and the ratio of primary industry, second industry and tertiary industry change differently. The primary industry and second industry are negative related to urbanization, while tertiary industry is direct related to urbanization. That is to say the labor force transformation to tertiary industry is benefit to the urbanization, urbanization and the economy growth can affect mutually. Compared to the Qiannali model, Beijings experience that the primary industry descends and the tertiary industry develops is benefit to accelerate efficiently the more advance urbanization and exert the reference meaning to the urbanization of other provinces.