服务贸易对浙江经济增长影响的实证分析

本文实证检验了服务贸易对浙江GDP增长的影响,发现浙江服务贸易出口会促进经济增长,进口则会制约经济增长。而且出口、进口均是GDP增长的格兰杰原因。在尝试性地对这些结果进行相应解释的基础上,提出了发展服务贸易、促进浙江经济增长的建议。

An Empirical Analysis of the Impacts of Trade in Services on Zhejiang's Economic Growth

We use an empirical method to study the impacts of trade in services on Zhejiang's economic growth.The result of co-integration test shows that services exports have had a positive impact on the economic growth,but services imports have had a negative effect on the economic growth,and meanwhile,the services exports and imports are both the Granger reasons to GDP growth.