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| 河北省宏观经济运行的长期均衡分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 李国柱,贾洪波,黄本春. 河北省宏观经济运行的长期均衡分析[J]. 石家庄经济学院学报, 2006, 29(5): 624-629 |
| 作者姓名： | 李国柱 贾洪波 黄本春 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 石家庄经济学院,河北,石家庄,050031;辽宁大学,辽宁,沈阳,110036 2. 辽宁大学,辽宁,沈阳,110036 3. 石家庄经济学院,河北,石家庄,050031 |
| 摘 要： | 运用协整理论和误差修正模型，估计了河北省宏观经济运行的长期均衡和短期波动关系。从长期看，河北省宏观经济系统存在协整关系，且这种关系对即期GDP具有促进作用．河北经济是投资驱动和出口拉动型的，消费不直接促进经济增长，而是通过协整关系间接促进经济增长。 |
| 关 键 词： | 广东区域经济 长期均衡 短期波动 误差修正模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-6875(2006)05-0624-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-06-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-06-05 |
A Research on Long-term Equilibrium of Hebei''''s Macroeconomic Operation |
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| LI Guo-zhu,JIA Hong-bo,HUANG Ben-chun. A Research on Long-term Equilibrium of Hebei''''s Macroeconomic Operation[J]. Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics, 2006, 29(5): 624-629 | |
| Authors: | LI Guo-zhu JIA Hong-bo HUANG Ben-chun |
| Affiliation: | 1. Shijiazhuang University of Economics, Shijiazhuang, Hebei 050031 ; 2. Liaoning University, Shenyang, Liaoning 110036 |
| Abstract: | In accordance with the co-integration theory and the error-correction model,this paper measures the long-term equilibrium of macro economic operation in Hebei.The economy system in Hebei has co-integration relationship,and this relationship can stimulate economic growth.The economy in Hebei is investment-driven and export-driven.Consumption can't affect GDP directly,but can stimulate the growth through co-integration relationship. |
| Keywords: | economic operation long-term equilibrium short-term fluctuation error-correction model |
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