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Influence Diagrams for Causal Modelling and Inference
Authors:A. P. Dawid
Affiliation:Department of Statistical Science, University College London, Gower Street, London WCIE 6BT, UK. E-mail:
Abstract:We consider a variety of ways in which probabilistic and causal models can be represented in graphical form. By adding nodes to our graphs to represent parameters, decision, etc ., we obtain a generalisation of influence diagrams that supports meaningful causal modelling and inference, and only requires concepts and methods that are already standard in the purely probabilistic case. We relate our representations to others, particularly functional models, and present arguments and examples in favour of their superiority.
Keywords:Augmented DAG    Causal inference    Confounder    Counterfactual    Directed acyclic graph    Graphical model    Intervention    Functional model
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