中俄油气合作:基础·权重·策略

俄罗斯油气资源潜力巨大,开采前景乐观。中俄油气合作的基础是供需互补潜力,不过,国际油气行情持续升温使两国合作的条件发生变化,合作目标和利益取向分歧扩大,合作出现阶段性徘徊。通过对中俄油气合作状况的分析可以大致确定至2020年前两国合作可能达到的规模和权重,这可以作为把握两国中期(至2020年)合作前景的重要尺度。从发展过程看,两国油气合作在经历"酝酿"和"启动"两个阶段后已经进入第三阶段,反映两国阶段性合作规模和权重比从零起步逐渐扩展到的实际进程。两国在现阶段的油气合作更具务实性,对此,中国应该积极借助新的有利条件推动合作的发展,争取双赢结果,确保自身能源安全。

Sino-Russian Cooperation in Oil and Gas:Basis,Proportion and Strategy

It is an accepted fact that the amount of oil and gas resources in Russia are massive and the exploitation can be desirable.The Sino-Russian cooperation in this field is normally based on the supply and demand of the domestic markets bwteen the two countries.However,the divergence over the cooperation goal and interests of the two countries has gapped due to the progressive warming in the international petroleum market.The cooperation is a bit shelved now.It could probably be prognosticated that the coopera...