以公共风险的结构和强度重塑财政政策体系

随着我国社会、经济发展形态和发展目标的变化,财政政策体系目标和运行逻辑也需要超越建立在确定性思维基础上的凯恩斯主义分析框架,财政政策供给要根据风险权衡原理,视公共风险的结构和强度进行相机调整.在当前复杂的国内外发展环境下,财政须充分发挥作为国家治理的基础与重要支柱的作用,以应对各种不确定性作为财政政策体系运行的目标,与金融环境协调配合,在保证财政自身风险可控前提下,通过灵活多样的政策工具为经济社会注入确定性,降低风险、引导预期,使经济社会系统整体的公共风险最小化.

Reshaping Fiscal Policy System from the Respective of Structure and Strength of Public Risk

With the change of economic development situation and its objectives in China society,the goal and operation logic of public finance policy should be reformed which is previously based on certainty and Keynesian economics.The supply of public finance policy should be adjusted by risk trade-off and based on the structure and strength of public risk.Under current complex domestic and overseas situation,public finance should paly its foundation and important pillar role in state governance,to respond to all kinds of uncertainties as the policy goals,and coordinate with current financial situation.Ensuring the control of public finance risk,flexible policy instruments can be taken to input certainty for economic society,minimize the general public finance of the whole economic and social system by reducing risk and guiding expectation.