基于Serendipity“动力-类型”的技术创新失败挽救机制研究

基于Serendipity类型和动力提出技术创新失败挽救机制的16个理论假设，并通过生物制药产业案例进行实证检验。结果表明，技术创新失败挽救有观察者主导的Walpolian型和观察者主导的Merton型两个主流机制，以及理论主导的Merton型、网络主导的Merton型、网络主导的Bushian型和理论主导的Walpolian型4个非主流机制。从挽救动力、类型、动力和类型结合以及挽救机制联合作用等方面对技术创新失败挽救机制进行讨论，最后提出研究结论、理论贡献和未来展望。

Research on Mechanism of Saving the Failure of Technological Innovation based on Serendipity"Power-Type"

By introducing Serendipity theory, 16 theoretical hypotheses of failure recovery mechanism of technological innovation are established based on type and motive power, and empirically tested through cases are put forward in biopharmaceutical industry. The research shows that saving the failure of technological innovation has two mainstream mechanisms as Observer-led-Walpolian and Observer-led-Merton, and four non-mainstream mechanisms as Theory-led-Merton, Network-emergent-Merton, Network-emergent-Bushian and Theory-led-Walpolian. On this basis, the paper further discusses the mechanism of saving the failure of technological innovation from four aspects: the motive force of saving, the type of saving, the combination of the motive force and the type of saving, and the joint effect of saving mechanism. Finally, we summarize the research conclusions, theoretical contributions and future prospects.